U.S. Worker Productivity Down in Spring – That’s Fair
Thursday, September 7th, 2006The International Herald Tribune (September 6, 2006) observes that Labor Department data shows U.S. worker productivity slowing in the second quarter while labor costs rose. (Strange – my salary didn’t rise. Wonder what part of the cost of my labor rose?)
It’s not that workers are actually slowing down our productivity rate. We’re not that organized. Yet. We’re just not increasing our productivity as rapidly as we had been doing. Perhaps that’s because every mechanism—even the cyborgs our employers imagine us to be—has its maximum output limitations, and we’re reaching ours. We’re tired. Maybe that’s from the two jobs we’re having to work to even approximate the income of the one job we had in the 1990’s.
How badly are we slacking? Our productivity increased at an annualized rate of merely 1.6 percent in the second quarter after a 4.3 percent annualized rate the first quarter. Labor costs, meanwhile, rose at 4.9 percent – not so bad when you consider that in the first quarter it rose 9 percent, which was the biggest jump since 2000.
Inflation may be occurring, worries Bloomberg News: “The bigger than expected rise in labor costs, may heighten concerns that inflation will accelerate as businesses lift prices to compensate.” Right – along with the compensatory price increases for higher fuel and insurance costs. Businesses bearing the cost of tiny gains in treating workers fairly is, I’m guessing, far less than 10 percent of any consumer price inflation that businesses are passing along to us.
Wait – remind me who “us” is. “Us” would be the workers who aren’t running as fast at work as the labor costs are running up. And why are labor costs running up? Because the petro-fuel industry is reaping obscene profits from the prices it’s charging our employers and ourselves. Because the health and home insurance industry is pro-actively hedging its bet against our aging workforce’s predicted declining health and recent turbulent weather’s bludgeoning our homes. Those labor costs are somehow labor’s fault, how?
I’m waiting ….
You can’t figure it out either, huh? We’re not alone in our quandary.
Voice of America News headlined this observation just the day before Bloomberg bemoaned the labor costs: “Energy Costs Hurting US Worker Paychecks.” VOA cites National Association of Manufacturers’ statistics: “U.S. manufacturing output has grown 5.8 percent over the last 12 months. That is its strongest gain since 1998. The economy picked up 1.7 million new jobs to push unemployment below the five percent mark. The growth in productivity combined with a tightening labor market boosted worker wages by 1.7 percent. But N.A.M. president John Engler says his group’s annual Labor Day report shows workers are actually losing buying power. ‘Wages, when adjusted for inflation, are not rising. In fact, they averaged a decline of a half of one percent during that same period. The culprit, the main reason wages did not keep pace with inflation? Energy costs — they went up 23 percent last year.’ N.A.M. chief economist David Huether computes so-called ‘real wages’ by factoring in the impact of surging gasoline prices along with benefits and employer contributions. He says those ‘real wages’ have declined by nearly two percent since 2001.”
On September 4, a BBC News headline summed up the situation even more explicitly: “The end of the American dream?” That’s a rhetorical question.
The metrics the BBC cites provide the answer: “After growing at more than 3% a year in 2004 and 2005, the pace picked up to a blistering 5.6% annual rate in the first quarter of this year - although the pace has since then slipped back to 2.9%. So far, though, little of that growth has translated into the hands of the average worker, according to new research from the Economic Policy Institute (EPI).”
While corporate America is doing well, working America is not. BBC News gives us the real numbers. “During the five years from 2000 to 2005, the US economy grew in size from $9.8 trillion to $11.2 trillion, an increase in real terms of 14%. Productivity - the measure of the output of the economy per worker employed - grew even more strongly, by 16.6%. But over the same period, the median family’s income slid by 2.9%, in contrast to the 11.3% gain registered in the second half of the 1990s.”
The BBC piles on the data and the accurate interpretation of them. “Even for those with jobs, the fruits of economic growth have been more unequally distributed within the labour market. The incomes of the top 20% have grown much faster than earnings of those at the middle or bottom of the income distribution. The income of the top 1% and top 0.1% have grown particularly rapidly. From 1992 to 2005, the pay of chief executive officers of major companies rose by 186%. The equivalent figure for median hourly wages was 7.2%.”
There’s one more productivity measure I want now. What’s the productivity metric for CEOs? Is it up or down? How can we tell? Does anyone even bother to analyze it? Turns out, someone does. Irony continues in my next blog entry….


