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Rich Get Poorer, Poor Disappear

Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

Ever on the lookout for the bright side of hard times, I am tempted to delete “class inequality” from my worry list. Less than a year ago, it was one of the biggest economic threats on the horizon, with even hard line conservative pundits grousing that wealth was flowing uphill at an alarming rate, leaving the middle class stuck with stagnating incomes while the new super-rich ascended to the heavens in their personal jets. Then the whole top-heavy structure of American capitalism began to totter, and –poof!—inequality all but vanished from the public discourse. A financial columnist in the Chicago Sun Times has just announced that the recession is a “great leveler,” serving to “democratize[d] the agony,” as we all tumble into “the Nouveau Poor…”

The media have been pelting us with heart-wrenching stories about the neo-suffering of the Nouveau Poor, or at least the Formerly Super-rich among them: Foreclosures in Greenwich CT! A collapsing market for cosmetic surgery! Sales of Gulfstream jets declining! Niemen Marcus and Saks Fifth Avenue on the ropes! We read of desperate measures, like having to cut back the personal trainer to two hours a week. Parties have been canceled; dinner guests have been offered, gasp, baked potatoes and chili. The New York Times relates the story of a New Jersey teenager whose parents were forced to cut her $100 a week allowance and private Pilates classes. In one of the most pathetic tales of all, New Yorker Alexandra Penney relates how she lost her life savings to Bernie Madoff and is now faced with having to lay off her three-day- a-week maid, Yolanda. “I wear a classic clean white shirt every day of the week. I have about 40 white shirts. They make me feel fresh and ready to face whatever battles I may be fighting …” she wrote, but without Yolanda, “How am I going to iron those shirts so I can still feel like a poor civilized person?”

But hard times are no more likely to abolish class inequality than Obama’s inauguration is likely to eradicate racism. No one actually knows yet whether inequality has increased or decreased during the last year of recession, but the historical precedents are not promising. The economists I’ve talked to– like Biden’s top economic advisor, Jared Bernstein—insist that recessions are particularly unkind to the poor and the middle class. Canadian economist Armine Yalnizyan says, “Income polarization always gets worse during recessions.” It makes sense. If the stock market has shrunk your assets of $500 million to a mere $250 million, you may have to pass on a third or fourth vacation home. But if you’ve just lost an $8 an hour job, you’re looking at no home at all.

Alright, I’m a journalist and I understand how the media work. When a millionaire cuts back on his crème fraiche and caviar consumption, you have a touching human interest story. But pitch a story about a laid-off roofer who loses his trailer home and you’re likely to get a big editorial yawn. “Poor Get Poorer” is just not an eye-grabbing headline, even when the evidence is overwhelming. Food stamp applications, for example, are rising toward a historic record; calls to one DC-area hunger hotline have jumped 248 percent in the last six months, most of them from people who have never needed food aid before. And for the first time since 1996, there’s been a marked upswing in the number of people seeking cash assistance from TANF (Temporary Aid to Needy Families), the exsanguinated version of welfare left by welfare “reform.” Too bad for them that TANF is essentially a wage-supplement program based on the assumption that the poor would always be able to find jobs, and that it pays, at most, less than half the federal poverty level.

Why do the sufferings of the poor and the downwardly- mobile class matter more than the tiny deprivations of the rich? Leaving aside all the soft-hearted socialist, Christian-type, arguments, it’s because poverty and the squeeze on the middle class are a big part of what got us into this mess in the first place. Only one thing kept the sub-rich spending in the 00’s, and hence kept the economy going, and that was debt: credit card debt, home equity loans, car loans, college loans and of course the now famously “toxic” subprime mortgages, which were bundled and sliced into “securities” and marketed to the rich as high-interest investments throughout the world. The gross inequality of American society wasn’t just unfair or aesthetically displeasing; it created a perilously unstable situation.

Which is why any serious government attempt to get the economy going again – and I leave aside the unserious attempts like bank bailouts and other corporate welfare projects—has to start at the bottom. Obama is promising to generate three million new jobs in “shovel ready” projects, and let’s hope they’re not all jobs for young men with strong backs. Until those jobs kick in, and in case they leave out the elderly, the single moms and the downsized desk-workers, we’re going to need an economic policy centered on the poor: more money for food stamps, for Medicaid, unemployment insurance, and, yes, cash assistance along the lines of what welfare once was, so that when people come tumbling down they don’t end up six feet under. For those who think “welfare” sounds too radical, we could just call it a “right to life” program, only one in which the objects of concern have already been born.

If that sounds politically unfeasible, consider this: When Clinton was cutting welfare and food stamps in the 90s, the poor were still an easily marginalized group, subjected to the nastiest sorts of racial and gender stereotyping. They were lazy, promiscuous, addicted, deadbeats, as whole choruses of conservative experts announced. Thanks to the recession, however – and I knew there had to be a bright side – the ranks of the poor are swelling every day with failed business owners, office workers, salespeople, and long-time homeowners. Stereotype that! As the poor and the formerly middle class Nouveau Poor become the American majority, they will finally have the clout to get their needs met.

UP Board Member Jared Bernstein to be Chief Economist for Biden

Wednesday, January 7th, 2009

Congratulations to Jared Bernstein, UP board member and highly regarded economist! The following is an excerpt from the Obama transition team website, www.change.gov. Click on the link to read the entire story.

WASHINGTON, DC – “Given the critical nature of the economic challenges facing America, Vice President-elect Joe Biden announced today the creation of a new position in the Office of the Vice President: Chief Economist and Economic Policy Advisor to the Vice President. The Vice President-elect has selected nationally-prominent economist Jared Bernstein for the post. …”

http://change.gov/newsroom/entry/vice_president_elect_biden_announces_chief_economist/

“Crunch: Why Do I Feel So Squeezed?”

Wednesday, October 1st, 2008

A Book Review by R. William Holland, PhD

United Professionals Board Chair

“Crunch: Why do I feel So Squeezed?

(And Other Unsolved Economic Mysteries)”

by Jared Bernstein

Berrett-Koehler Publishers, April 2008

Several days ago I sent fellow UP Board member and Economic Policy Institute economist Jared Bernstein a note asking for reference materials on the commoditization of college degrees and its effect on the job market. His quick response said he had “tons of material” and he sent an unpublished paper and a suggestion that perhaps I would find his latest book of interest.

After overcoming my initial embarrassment of asking an associate for help before doing my own homework on his contributions, I received the paper and immediately purchased a copy of the book, “Crunch: Why Do I feel So Squeezed?” The paper had enough econo-jargon to give me a headache worthy of several aspirin, but I read it anyway. The book, however, was easy to read, delightfully entertaining and yet deadly serious.

In the 1½ days it took me to read it, I learned almost as much as I ever knew on the subject and had a great time doing it. So my message to UP members and friends is to go out right away and pick up a copy of Bernstein’s book. You’ll not only like it, you’ll also get the answers to all of those economist-like questions you’ve been too embarrassed to admit not really understanding:

· Is an expanding Gross Domestic Product (GDP) a good thing for me and my family?

· Why does Wall Street rally when unemployment rises?

· Are the interests of Main Street and Wall Street the same?

· Is Social Security really going bust?

· If I hire an immigrant, am I really hurting native-born workers?

· Is buying the Street Sheet from the homeless person on the corner really the right thing to do?

You’ll get the answers to these questions and many more in a way that’s easy to understand and remember.

Early on we are introduced to a Mickey Spillane type “doll” with, according to Bernstein, “a neckline as low as the Nasdaq in ’01, curves like sine waves, and a dress tighter than the global oil supply.” (I hear that all recovering economists have this kind of sense of humor). The doll’s purpose is to demonstrate how politicians and economists use econo-jargon to mask ulterior motives that are actually easy to uncover once you understand their game.

Each subsection of “Crunch” starts with a question—usually one we’ve all been reluctant to ask for fear someone will wonder why we didn’t know it in the first place. The question is then followed by a discussion using the questions (principles) we are taught to ask. Then we are given succinct public policy takeaways and conclusions.

As we go through this process, we discover:

· Why so many people feel squeezed even though productivity continues to climb to historic heights

· If there’s anything good about inequality

· Does under-employment really exist

· Can it be okay for jobs to leave the country

· Why our health care system is so bad

We learn the answers to these questions and more—all in a quick paced, humorous style that belies the solid scholarly economic principles underlying Bernstein’s analysis.

Read it. You’ll be glad you did.

R. William Holland

UP Board Chair and author, “Are There Any Good Jobs Left?”

Career Management in the Age of the Disposable Worker (Praeger, 2006).

Congress Extends Unemployment Benefits 13 Weeks

Tuesday, July 8th, 2008

In a dramatic victory for the 8.5 million out of work Americans, Congress passed an essentially “bulletproof” 13-week extension of unemployment benefits last week. Given that our economy is now losing 60,000 jobs a month due to lay-offs, job eliminations, and an otherwise sluggish economy, the action was overdue.

The very good news is that those who are already receiving an unemployment benefit will not have to reapply as they will be automatically extended. Those who have exhausted their benefit under the old limits will need to reapply, confirming that they are still unemployed and looking for work.

UP began agitating in late ‘07 for an extension of benefits by encouraging its members and friends to let their representatives know how they felt. We proudly joined with allied groups in pushing for the extension. According to UP founder and board member, Barbara Ehrenreich, “joining with allied organizations such as the Economic Policy Institute (EPI) and others in pushing for positive social change is a critically important part of UP’s overall strategy.”

EPI’s Jared Bernstein and UP board member agreed and observed that “the rationale for extending benefits was never in doubt. The question was whether UP and other groups could organize a successful coalition against some powerful forces. And the answer is: we could and we did.”

UP Director Jared Bernstein Discusses Economy

Thursday, April 10th, 2008

Jared Bernstein has just joined UP’s board of directors. He is a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute and author of  just-released “Crunch: Why Do I Feel So Squeezed (And Other Unsolved Economic Mysteries)” Below is an excerpt from the TPM Cafe Book Club at http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/tpmcafe-book-club/ where Jared, Barbara Ehrenreich, and others discuss today’s economy in terms of real people.

Let’s Talk “Crunch”


First, I want to thank TPM’s Andrew Golis for setting up this book club. Second, I want to thank Brad DeLong, Barbara Ehrenreich, and Alan Viard for agreeing to post along with me on “Crunch” over the next few days (Tyler Cowan is a “maybe”—I’m hoping he will post some responses too).

A bunch of “Crunch” is me answering real people’s questions about the economy—not wonk’s questions, but actual questions gathered from folks who are interested in matters economic but not necessarily schooled in them. The questions range from the definitional: “What’s GDP; how’s unemployment defined,” and “What does the Federal Reserve do, anyway?” and the timely: “What are bubbles and what is a recession?” There are behavioral questions, like “Should I give money to a homeless person or hire an undocumented worker?” as well as policy questions and solutions, like “Do other countries really spend less than we do on health care with better results?” or “Are budget deficits really a problem?”

And, of course, “Why do I feel so squeezed?”

 Please click on the link to view the entire discussion:

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/tpmcafe-book-club/